September weather in Dallas is notoriously erratic. One week we’re sweating out the remnants of summer heat, and the next, we’re dodging severe thunderstorms.
Even though autumn hasn’t officially arrived, it’s not too early to see what winter holds for North Texas. The Farmers’ Almanac—relying on a highly guarded, proprietary blend of lunar cycles, solar activity, tidal pulls, and historical data—has mapped out the rest of the year.
After projecting a damp, chilly fall with a notably stormy November, their official winter outlook is here.

Thanks to a strong El Niño pattern, the DFW metroplex should brace for a moisture-packed season. While temperatures might hover around average, this influx of precipitation brings a major regional threat: ice. When active southern storm tracks collide with sudden Arctic cold fronts, North Texas faces an elevated risk of freezing rain and sleet.
The Almanac specifically notes that El Niño will drive “wetter-than-normal conditions across much of the southern United States,” creating a busy storm corridor stretching from the Southwest straight through Texas. If you’re marking your calendar, the winter season officially kicks off on Monday, December 21, 2026.