Even though it’s late August, the Texas heat means we’re still firmly in swimsuit season. If you’re eager to trade the pool for a pumpkin spice latte and finally pull your favorite sweaters out of storage, you’re probably wondering when the leaves will turn and the temperatures will actually drop.
Earlier this August, The Old Farmer’s Almanac released its fall weather predictions for 2026. America’s oldest continuously published periodical, The Old Farmer’s Almanac (founded in 1792), releases an annual edition filled with regional weather predictions, astronomical charts, calendars, and folklore.
Fall preview for North Texas
When it comes to its long-range weather predictions, Old Farmer’s Almanac doesn’t make its predictions by city, or states by that matter, but rather regions.
According to the Old Farmer’s Almanac 2026 autumn preview, Texas is going to be split. South Texas is predicted to endure an unseasonably warm fall, while those of us in North Texas are supposedly in for cooler-than-normal weather and an extra four inches of rain. How’s that for cozy?
The Old Farmer’s Almanac
You might want to take those claims with a grain of salt, though. Meteorologists frequently point out that the Almanac’s accuracy is fairly hit-or-miss, despite its reliance on a top-secret prediction formula dating back to 1818.
When does fall happen in DFW?
Realistically, September in DFW still brings average highs near 88°F, so the heat won’t vanish overnight. In DFW, fall usually begins to feel noticeable in late September to early October, with genuinely consistent fall weather arriving in mid-to-late October.
November is usually the most reliably cool, jacket-friendly month. Regardless of what the thermometer says, if you’re just wondering when the season officially kicks off in DFW this year, mark your calendar for September 22.
